State of the Race: June 17, 2015

Editor’s Note: During the 2012 presidential election, TKNN had a weekly podcast and later show on Wednesday dedicated to the election. Honoring Twenty Twelve, we present our new series on the 2016 presidential election, the State of the Race.

Quinnipiac Poll: A new series of polling by Quinnipiac University looks at the perennial swing states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Hillary Clinton remains strong, yet Pennsylvania represents a potential sore spot. She loses the state 44% to 43% to Senator Marco Rubio and 45% to 44% to Senator Rand Paul. In Ohio, she loses to current Ohio Governor John Kasich, 47% to 40%. She also ties with Senator Paul at 43%. Kasich has not yet announced a presidential run, but is expected to. In Florida, Senator Rubio is stronger against Clinton than former Governor Jeb Bush. Both Bush and Rubio are from the state.

THE CANDIDATES

• 12 Republicans have announced a run.
  • Ted Cruz
  • Marco Rubio
  • Rand Paul
  • Ben Carson
  • Carly Fiorina
  • Mike Huckabee
  • Rick Santorum
  • Rick Perry
  • George Pataki
  • Lindsey Graham
  • Jeb Bush
  • Donald Trump
• 4 Democrats have announced a run.
  • Hillary Clinton
  • Bernie Sanders
  • Martin O’Malley
  • Lincoln Chafee

POLL NUMBERS

• Nationwide (Republicans)
  1. Jeb Bush
  2. Scott Walker
  3. Marco Rubio
  4. Ben Carson
  5. Mike Huckabee
  6. Rand Paul
  7. Ted Cruz
  8. Chris Christie
  9. Donald Trump
  10. Rick Perry
  11. Rick Santorum
  12. Carly Fiorina
  13. John Kasich
  14. Lindsey Graham
  15. Bobby Jindal

Fox News will be allowing the top ten places into their first Republican debate.

• Iowa (Republicans)
  1. Scott Walker
  2. Marco Rubio
  3. Mike Huckabee
  4. Rand Paul
  5. Jeb Bush
  6. Ben Carson
  7. Ted Cruz
  8. Rick Santorum
  9. Donald Trump
  10. Chris Christie
  11. Rick Perry
  12. Carly Fiorina
  13. John Kasich
  14. Bobby Jindal
• New Hampshire (Republicans)
  1. Jeb Bush
  2. Scott Walker
  3. Rand Paul
  4. Marco Rubio
  5. Donald Trump
  6. Chris Christie
  7. Ted Cruz
  8. Ben Carson
  9. Mike Huckabee
  10. Carly Fiorina
  11. Rick Perry
  12. Bobby Jindal
  13. Rick Santorum
  14. John Kasich
• South Carolina (Republicans)
  1. Jeb Bush
  2. Scott Walker
  3. Lindsey Graham
  4. Ted Cruz
  5. Ben Carson
  6. Mike Huckabee
  7. Marco Rubio
  8. Rand Paul
  9. Chris Christie
  10. Donald Trump
  11. Rick Santorum
  12. Rick Perry

• Nationwide (Democrats)
  1. Hillary Clinton
  2. Bernie Sanders
  3. Joe Biden
  4. Martin O’Malley
  5. Jim Webb
  6. Lincoln Chafee
• Iowa (Democrats)
  1. Hillary Clinton
  2. Bernie Sanders
  3. Joe Biden
  4. Martin O’Malley and Jim Webb (Tie)
  5. Lincoln Chafee
• New Hampshire (Democrats)
  1. Hillary Clinton
  2. Bernie Sanders
  3. Joe Biden
  4. Martin O’Malley
  5. Jim Webb
  6. Lincoln Chafee
• South Carolina (Democrats)
  1. Hillary Clinton
  2. Joe Biden
  3. Bernie Sanders
  4. Martin O’Malley
  5. Jim Webb
  6. Lincoln Chafee